*READ SPC AND NWS AREA DISCUSSIONS
LOOK AT REALTIME DATA SUCH AS SURFACE CHARTS, OBSERVED SOUNDINGS, SATELLITE, AND RADAR. LOOK FOR FRONTS, DRYLINE, OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES, ETC. DRAW IN IMPORTANT DETAILS ON A MAP.
CLOSELY LOOK AT THE HRRR, RRFS-A, AND HREF MODELS TO PINPOINT WHERE STORM MIGHT FORM.
LOOK AT SPC MESOSCALE ANALYSIS DATA TO HELP PINPOINT A TARGET.
SPC MESOSCALE ANALYSIS (MOBILE VERSION)
LOOK CLOSELY AT THE NAM AND RAP FORECAST HODOGRAPHS! SPEND A LOT OF TIME THINKING ABOUT WHAT THE DIFFERENT TYPES OF HODOS MIGHT BRING TO THE TABLE AS FAR AS STRENGTH AND TYPE OF STORMS.
THINGS TO TAKE NOTE OF AND ASK YOURSELF...
REMEMBER SLIM...SHEAR, LIFT, INSTABILITY, and MOISTURE FOR SUPERCELLS!
*WHAT MODE WILL STORMS BE IN? HP, CL, or LP? IF STORM RELATIVE WINDS ABOVE 6KM ARE:
GREATER THAN 40KTS: LP
LESS THAN 20KTS: HP
BETWEEN 25 AND 40 KTS: CLASSIC
MEASURE THE VECTORS FROM THE BUNKERS RIGHT MOTION SYMBOL FROM 6KM AND ABOVE.
*HOW FAST WILL STORMS BE MOVING, AND IN WHAT DIRECTION?
*WILL STORMS BE BIG OR SMALL? SIZE OF HODOGRAPH CAN DICTATE THIS.
*WILL STORMS BE NICE AND ISOLATED, OR WILL THEY BE MORE OF A BLOBBY MESS? IF THE SHEAR VECTOR IS PERPINDICULAR TO THE LIFT SOURCE (DRYLINE), THEN ISOLATED STORMS ARE MOST LIKELY...ESPECAILLY IF THERE IS A CAP.
DRAW IN AREAS OF INTEREST LIKE, CAPE, SHEAR, DRYLINE, LLJ, STRONG CAPPING INVERSION, CLOUDCOVER, FRONTS, ADN ANY OTHER DETAIL THAT IS IMPORTANT.
WITH THE DRAWN AREAS ON THE MAP AND HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CAM'S, DRAW OUT A TARGET AREA AND GET READY TO HEAD OUT!
REMEMBER TO LOOK FOR CERTAIN DETAILS AT EACH LEVEL OF ATMOSPHERE.
250MB- NOTE JET STREAM AND JET STREAKS
500MB- NOTE TROUGH AND RIDGES. NOTE VORTICITY AND ALSO NOTE IF THE TROUGH IS NEGATIVELY OR POSITIVELY TILTED. LOOK FOR SHORTWAVES AS WELL.
700MB- NOTE ANY KINKS IN THE ISOBARS WHICH MAY DENOTE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS. ALSO NOTE TEMP WHICH MAY INDICATE A CAPPING INVERSION.
850MB-MOST IMPORTANT IS THE LOW LEVEL JET AND TEMP AND MOISTURE ADVECTION. ALSO NOTE ANY FRONTS THAT MAY BE PRESENT.
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